U.S. stock futures rise as market awaits what could be the biggest Fed rate hike since 2000

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U.S. stock index futures moved higher on Wednesday, ahead of the outcome of a two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting that is expected to deliver the first 50 basis-point interest rate hike since 2000.

Futures were moving higher alongside oil prices which were up on news that the EU has proposed a ban on Russian oil.

How are stock-index futures trading?
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures YM00, +0.36% rose 117 points, or 0.3%, to 33,150
  • S&P 500 futures ES00, +0.39% rose 0.3% to 4,185
  • Nasdaq-100 futures NQ00, +0.31% rose 0.3% to 13,126

On Tuesday, the Dow industrials DJIA, +0.20% rose 67.29 points, or 0.2%, to close at 33,128.79, the S&P 500  SPX, +0.48% gained 0.5% to finish at 4,175.48. The Nasdaq Composite  COMP, +0.22% added 0.2% to end at 12,563.76.

Read: ‘Bubble stocks popped’ but it’s still not safe to buy them, says Ray Dalio, founder of world’s biggest hedge fund

What’s driving markets?

Alongside a half percentage point interest rate hike, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce the start of “quantitative tightening” when the central bank’s decision is announced at 2 p.m. Eastern Time. Investors will also focus on a news conference with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at 2:30 p.m. Eastern Time.

Read: Fed on track for biggest rate hike since 2000

Clarity from the Fed on size and scope of future rate increases could give beleaguered stocks a lift, say some analysts.

“With financial conditions tightening ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision, the Fed could be more dovish,” said the Saxo Bank strategy team, in a note to clients. “Since the Fed’s last meeting, the 10-year yield topped 3% for the first time since 2018, the U.S. dollar rallied 5%, the S&P 500 has fallen 8.74%, and hedge fund exposures fell to a 1.5-year low,”

A slightly more dovish Fed could lead to a short-term rally for hard-hit technology and cyclical stocks, they said. “Keep in mind though, the longer-term picture is still very bearish, medium and longer-term, as the Fed is taking out $1 trillion a year out of the system and the economy is expected to slow,” said Saxo strategists.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, 2.975% was steady at 2.957%, while that of the 2-year TMUBMUSD02Y, 2.797% was up 2 basis points to 2.776%.

Ahead of Friday’s monthly U.S. employment data, investors will get the ADP private-sector employment report at 8:15 a.m. Eastern Time Wednesday, a March update on the international trade balance, due at 8:30 a.m., followed by the Institute for Supply Management’s April services index at 10 a.m. Eastern.

Oil was also in focus, with prices for both Brent BRN00, +4.04% BRNN22, +4.04% and West Texas Intermediate crude CL00, +4.21% CL.1, +4.21% CLM22, +4.21% up over 3% each after the European Union proposed banning Russian oil imports under a phased six-month plan, and refined products within a year.

The move would be part of a sixth batch of EU sanctions against Russia over its invasion in Ukraine that began in late February.

Investors will get a fresh batch of corporate earnings on Wednesday also, with Moderna Inc. MRNA, +3.14% and Yum Brands Inc. YUM, -0.60% among those reporting ahead of the open. After the close, results are expected from eBay Inc. EBAY, +0.58% and Etsy Inc. ETSY, +3.56%, among others.

Which companies are in focus?
How did other assets fare?
  • The ICE U.S. Dollar Index  DXY, -0.09%,  a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was down 0.3%.
  • Gold futures  GC00, -0.20% slipped, with gold for June delivery  GCM22, -0.20% eased modestly to to $1,869.50 an ounce.
  • Bitcoin  BTCUSD, +3.40% was up 1.8% at $38,993
  • In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600  SXXP, -0.40% fell 0.5%. London’s FTSE 100  UKX, -0.31%  dropped 0.5%.
  • In Asia, the Hang Seng Index  HSI, -1.10% fell 1.1% in Hong Kong, while many other Asian markets remained closed for a holiday.