The art and science of stock market investing requires a tolerance for losing money on some of the shares you buy. But it’s not unreasonable to try to avoid truly shocking capital losses. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Codex DNA, Inc. (NASDAQ:DNAY); the share price is down a whopping 90% in the last twelve months. While some investors are willing to stomach this sort of loss, they are usually professionals who spread their bets thinly. Because Codex DNA hasn’t been listed for many years, the market is still learning about how the business performs. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 61% in the last three months. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It’s a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it’s worth keeping in mind there’s more to life than money, anyway.
After losing 24% this past week, it’s worth investigating the company’s fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
Codex DNA wasn’t profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we’ll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That’s because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last twelve months, Codex DNA increased its revenue by 91%. That’s a strong result which is better than most other loss making companies. So the hefty 90% share price crash makes us think the company has somehow offended market participants. There’s clearly something unusual going on here such as an acquisition that hasn’t delivered expected profits. What is clear is that the market is not judging the company on its revenue growth right now. Of course, investors do over-react when they are stressed out, so the sell-off could be unjustifiably severe.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
This free interactive report on Codex DNA’s balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
A Different Perspective
Codex DNA shareholders are down 90% for the year, even worse than the market loss of 20%. That’s disappointing, but it’s worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn’t have helped. The share price decline has continued throughout the most recent three months, down 61%, suggesting an absence of enthusiasm from investors. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we’d remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example – Codex DNA has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.