Tesla Inc.’s (TSLA) Volatility Reaches 4.11%: Don’t Be Comfortable

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) price on Thursday, April 27, rose 4.19% above its previous day’s close as an upside momentum from buyers pushed the stock’s value to $160.19.

A look at the stock’s price movement, the close in the last trading session was $153.75, moving within a range at $152.37 and $160.48. The beta value (5-Year monthly) was 2.01 while the PE ratio in trailing twelve months stood at 47.16. Turning to its 52-week performance, $318.50 and $101.81 were the 52-week high and 52-week low respectively. Overall, TSLA moved -15.33% over the past month.

Tesla Inc.’s market cap currently stands at around $501.26 billion, with investors looking forward to this quarter’s earnings report slated for Jul 18, 2023 – Jul 24, 2023. Analysts project the company’s earnings per share (EPS) to be $0.78, which has seen fiscal year 2023 EPS growth forecast to increase to $3.43 and about $4.8 for fiscal year 2024. Per the data, EPS growth is expected to be -15.70% for 2023 and 39.90% for the next financial year.

Analysts have a consensus estimate of $23.96 billion for the company’s revenue for the quarter, with a low and high estimate of $22.3 billion and $26.38 billion respectively. The average forecast suggests up to a 41.50% growth in sales growth compared to quarterly growth in the same period last fiscal year. Wall Street analysts have also projected the company’s year-on-year revenue for 2023 to grow to $99.23 billion, representing a 21.80% jump on that reported in the last financial year.

Revisions could be used as tool to get short term price movement insight, and for the company that in the past seven days was no upward and no downward review(s). Turning to the stock’s technical picture we see that short term indicators suggest on average that TSLA is a 50% Sell. On the other hand, the stock is on average a Hold as suggested by medium term indicators while long term indicators are putting the stock in 100% Sell category.

47 analyst(s) have given their forecast ratings for the stock on a scale of 1.00-5.00 for a strong buy to strong sell recommendation. A total of 18 analyst(s) rate the stock as a Hold, 20 recommend TSLA as a Buy and 3 give it an Overweight rating. Meanwhile, 1 analyst(s) rate the stock as Underweight and 5 say it is a Sell. As such, the average rating for the stock is Overweight which could provide an opportunity for investors keen on increasing their holdings of the company’s stock.

The technical evaluation for the stock shows the PEG ratio is 4.42, with TSLA’s current price about -11.84% and -14.96% off the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14) currently prints 36.20, while 7-day volatility ratio is 4.11% and 3.89% in the 30-day chart. Further, Tesla Inc. (TSLA) has a beta value of 2.01, and an average true range (ATR) of 8.16. Analysts have given the company’s stock an average 52-week price target of $189.03, forecast between a low of $71.00 and high of $300.00. Looking at the price targets, the low is 55.68% off current price level while to achieve the yearly target high, price needs to move -87.28%. Nonetheless, investors will most likely welcome a -15.49% jump to $185.00 which is the analysts’ median price.

In the market, a comparison of Tesla Inc. (TSLA) and its peers suggest the former has performed considerably stronger. Data shows TSLA’s intraday price has changed 4.19% in last session and -45.17% over the past year. Elsewhere, the overall performance for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial shows that the indexes are up 1.96% and 1.57% respectively in the last trading.

If we refocus on Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), historical trading data shows that trading volumes averaged 129.29 million over the past 10 days and 160.14 million over the past 3 months. The company’s latest data on shares outstanding shows there are 3.16 billion shares.

The 0.10% of Tesla Inc.’s shares are in the hands of company insiders while institutional holders own 44.80% of the company’s shares. Also important is the data on short interest which shows that short shares stood at 88.57 million on Apr 13, 2023, giving us a short ratio of 0.67. The data shows that as of Apr 13, 2023 short interest in Tesla Inc. (TSLA) stood at 2.79% of shares outstanding, with shares short rising to 87.0 million registered in Mar 14, 2023. Current price change has pushed the stock 30.05% YTD, which shows the potential for further growth is there. It is this reason that could see investor optimism for the TSLA stock continues to rise going into the next quarter.