These Huge Dividends Are (Still) Cheap After The August 5 Crash

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Think back just a couple weeks: The “yen carry trade” had investors running scared, and we had a terrific opportunity to buy stocks—better still our favorite income plays on stocks: closed-end funds (CEFs) yielding 8%+.

But wow, was that window brief! Stocks have more than recovered since, and are what I’d call highly valued, with a price-to-earnings ratio of around 27.5.

Let me be clear: I’m not saying stocks are overvalued: They’re likely to keep posting good returns because earnings are rising, and the economy is still dodging the recession we’ve been warned about for three years now. However, there is a greater risk of volatility kicking up again.

We now know that the August 5 crash had little to do with Japan and a lot to do with pent-up investor anxiety. Such irrational selloffs are likely to come our way again.

But not to worry—we’ve got a plan for that: When the market pulls back, we’re going to put more emphasis on stocks (and stock-focused CEFs). But when the market fully recovers, like it has now, it’s time to buy something many people overlook: high-yield corporate bonds.

Think CEF, Not ETF, When Buying High-Yield Corporates

The way most people would employ this strategy is to pick up (or add more of) a bond index fund when stocks recover from a crash, but this is an imperfect solution.

To demonstrate why, let’s compare two popular corporate-bond ETFs—the SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK

SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF
)
and the iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD

iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
)
—to a CEF focusing on corporate bonds, the Western Asset High Income Opportunity Fund (HIO).

HIO is a recommendation of my CEF Insider service that’s done exactly what we wanted it to do when we bought it in February 2023: return a tidy 14.3%, with that gain coming entirely in dividend cash (the price has more or less held steady):

I say that return has been entirely in dividend cash because HIO, which has been around since the 1990s, yields 10.9% and pays dividends monthly. That’s a far more generous payout than JNK, which yields 6.5%, and LQD, with a 4.3% yield.

HIO has also handily beaten JNK and LQD since JNK’s inception in 2007:

With strong outperformance and payouts far higher than the index funds, despite being in essentially the same asset class, it’s clear that a CEF like HIO is the best way to go when diversifying your bond holdings.

Moreover, as I write this, HIO trades at a 6.5% discount to net asset value (NAV, or the value of its bond portfolio), even with the gains the fund (and corporate bonds generally) has posted lately.

Those discounts are only available with CEFs. And in HIO’s case, the discount suggests more upside ahead. Or at the very least greater price stability in a downturn, which would allow us to collect the fund’s monthly 10.9% payout in peace.

Those are just a few reasons why corporate-bond CEFs are a better buy than ETFs. I’ll throw in one more: Almost all bond CEFs offer higher yield, with an average of 8.5% across the space. Monthly payouts are common in CEF land, too. And getting more of your return in cash is something all of us can appreciate, especially in a downturn.

Michael Foster is the Lead Research Analyst for Contrarian Outlook. For more great income ideas, click here for our latest report “Indestructible Income: 5 Bargain Funds with Steady 10% Dividends.

Disclosure: none